"Copper Grill Breakfast Group Election Prediction: Land Commissoner: L.J. Bryant, 53%; John Thickston, 47%; nice comeback from State Rep loss"

Super wishful thinking. Can't even spell Thurston's name right.

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Dowd couldn't have said it better. I like it when she basically said the President ignored it when the right wing began to get traction. Get the message Democrats: you'll have to really fight these people. They don't want compromise on ANYTHING. As far as they're concerned you and your opinions are the brown spot in a whore's panties.

The reason: they and their leaders (except for the very wealthy who use them for puppets) are born of an evangelical culture, incapable of compromise, because they were not taught about it. Everything is either right or wrong with them. And for them to navigate through the world they must always look for ways to be right. And once they have found that way, they never look back. Right is right. And since they're right, you're wrong and there is no compromise.

How do you deal effecitively with these people? Hit'em in the forehead with a shovel and say "NO!" Repeat.

Dowd pegged it when she said Obama took his base for granted. Politicians have to teach as much as enact reforms.

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Dowd checks in with a different tone that belies the same arrogance as the rest of the horrified left... not one thought to the possibility that perhaps the problem is the POLICIES and not the salesmanship.

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Midterm election seats lost by Democrats in 1994: 52 in house, 8 in Senate.

We lived.

We'll live.

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This is all so sad on so many levels. I do not want to believe that the people will give the keys to the car to the assholes who ran it in the ditch. Big Daddy Cool(Clinton) has been saying this...the White House sometimes, but then they go to something else. Sigh. Of course, the media believes that things started on Jan 20, 2009, so it is all Obama's fault.

I agree with Ms. Dowd...it is just like they were asleep at the switch. It is almost like Bob Shrum was/is running the message room for the dems.

Lets hope everyone is wrong.

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It all hinges on the young voters. The massive cell phone users who don't get polled. Will they vote? Historically the 18-24 age group has the lowest turnout percentage, followed by the 70+ group. Obama energized the young two years ago. I see no sign of a similar pattern today.

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What!? It's not the #5!

Let's hope there no tea partyer named Earnhardt running for anything important. No need to worry about JimmyJohnson however. Everybody's sick of him.

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In 2002, Democrats got their head handed to them by George W. Bush, who famously said that he'd been "misunderestimated" and that was the point at which it came clear to me that the man wasn't an idiot, just a guy who loved politicking--was rather good at it, in fact--and didn't give a flying fig about governing, which he left to Dick Cheney for the next few years.

It's very possible that we've misoverestimated Barack Obama, who loves governing--is pretty good at it, in fact--but doesn't much care about politicking.

We'll see what happens Tuesday. I'm guardedly optimistic this year, but 2012? We'll see.

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About that alleged takeover of the Senate. Iowa Electronic Markets is indicating it's not going to happen. IEM's track record of 95% accuracy is hard to beat.

It's giving Repubs a 14.4% chance of taking the Senate, 79% chance on the House. Those dudes/dudresses do the math.

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/WebEx/marketin…

Then choose "price history" at the top.

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QlBOv8m_Xa8…

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The possible good news is Blue Dogs could suffer the most this year. Of course since Obama, Biden, Clinton and all the big D money changers all run around like chickens with their head cut off when they have a chance to push the party way right (Christ, Specter, Lincoln) there is little indication they will give up on their miserably failed ways. But it does look like D voters are beginning to get it and vote accordingly in quite a few districts. Too bad Ross will survive to usurp the party another day.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405…

Blue Dogs Face Sharp Losses in Midterms

snip

Of 54 Blue Dogs in the House, six already have retired or decided to seek other offices. Of those trying to stay, 39 are in competitive races, according to the Cook Political Report, and 22 of those are in pure toss-ups.

Among those facing the toughest races are some of the Blue Dog Coalition's leaders. Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin of South Dakota, one of the co-chairs of the group, is locked in a contest with State Rep. Kristi Noem; in the most recent polling earlier this month, conducting by Rasmussen Reports, Ms. Herseth Sandlin trailed 47% to 43%.

Similarly, Rep. Baron Hill of Indiana, a fellow Blue Dog leader, is battling Republican attorney Todd Young in a deadlocked race both parties see as an indicator of the size of the GOP wave.

The bottom line is that the Blue Dog population could be cut significantly, conceivably by half, in next week's voting.


snip

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Good video Cammack!

Dowd's column was pretty much on target too.

I hope that all the predictions for a huge Republican surge on Tuesday are wrong. If the Part of NO takes over both houses, I'm afraid we will be moving backward, not forward.

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I apologize if someone else has posted this on the blog previously, but I just saw it:

Tea party movement alienating young voters
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/conte…

Let's hope those young voters get out and vote and help defeat some of the Tea Party candidates!

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One of the biggest problems I have with Obama is the fact that so many local appointed positions are still sitting empty. Like, US Marshall for Western District finally filled in August; no US Attorney; No new federal judge for Texarkana; it just goes on and on. Every State has this problem. Obama should have had names for every slot in the first 90 days of his presidentcy. Big fail IMO.

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Half my brain agrees with Mo Dowd, but the other half doesn't. Candidate Obama clearly devoted 100% of his time and abilities to getting elected. It's what successful candidates do. He and Team Obama spent every second of each 24 hour period trying to put Barry on top and it worked.

Then in January, 2009, Candidate Obama became President Obama and I have to think with 2 losing wars, an economy in the toilet, companies going belly up and American workers losing their jobs in record numbers, and most of the world hating the US, President Obama had very little time to think of himself. Gone were the Yay! Obama, Ain't He Great moments. Time he could have spent strutting around like George W. Bush was spent worrying how to save the country Bush-Cheney trashed.

Obama was mistaken in thinking that doing the best job under impossible circumstances was more valuable to Americans than acting like a preening peacock. At one time hard work was prized above all else in America but not so much in Snooki Nation. I'm to the left of Obama and I have my own list of disappointments, but I tell myself, I remind myself that the President isn't Superman, the US government isn't a comic book, and believing 1 man can reverse 8 years of destruction in 18 months of Republican obstruction, is akin to taking a bag of snakes to church on Sunday.

Voting against Obama in the mid-term election is plumb stupid. Obama isn't up for reelection and isn't responsible for Blanche Lincoln's sorry performance in office, though he could have been smart enough to back Halter and then we wouldn't be in this mess. But I'm sure the ways of the Good Ole Boys in DC are even greater than Obama. Notice Bill Clinton drank the Kool-aid too and embraced Lincoln though she votes with the Republicans on nearly every important vote.

I think most Arkansans who vote Republican or Tea Party this time are voting against BLACK. My god they'll never get over a black man sleeping in OUR White House. And just imagine how outraged "they" would be right now if Obama had spent the last 18 month strutting around like a preening peacock!

Americans aren't very smart. I know it's unpatriotic to speak such truth, but look around....look back on the last 10 years, do you see a lot of intelligent behavior? My friend from yesterday emailed me this morning saying he was still going to vote of Jim Keet because Beebe raised the cigarette tax and didn't do nothing about all this immigration. Not that it will do a bit of good, but I will have to take valuable time out of my relaxing today to point out to him that the Arkansas legislature raised the cigarette tax and since Beebe doesn't work for the Federal Government, he has nothing to do with immigration. I should also take the time to point out to my friend that telling gay kids to go kill themselves isn't a good idea either.

Like Jon Stewart said yesterday, we are living in hard times, not end times. And no matter the outcome on Tuesday, President Obama will be the President for the next 2 years and barring assassination, probably the next 4 years after that. Like Tap pointed out....he'll live and we'll live too.

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Rally for Sanity (excerpt)

But beyond the goofiness, the rally seemed to be channeling something deep — a craving to be heard and a frustration with the lack of leadership, less by President Obama than by a Democratic Party that many participants described as timid, fearful, and failing to stand up for what they see as the president’s accomplishments.

“I’m proud of Obama, but the Democrats in Congress, they’re just running for cover,” said Ron Harris, a lawyer from Laguna Beach, Calif., who came to celebrate his 64th birthday. “They couldn’t sell bread to a starving mother if God was standing next to them.”

Some in the crowd expressed regret that it was comedians, not politicians, who were able to channel their frustration.

“We don’t have any place to turn,” said Michelle Sabol, 41, a jewelry designer from Pittsburgh. Mr. Stewart, she said, gave voice to her feeling of frustration and isolation.

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>

Tap, yes, we lived, BUT we had people elected in '94 who, tho mean as snakes, had a couple of brain cells. This time, we will likely have people who are mean as snakes, but they won't have the brain cells needed to apply the brakes. They will never accept the idea they are wrong no matter what the consequence. They are totally different - priding themselves in being hated and staying resolute. I won't be at all surprised if some of us don't live.......

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I agree, Cici.
These people today, the wingnuts and teabaggers, are a whole different sort. Some have already managed to get into office...others are way too close to winning a seat. Think Tim Griffin, Sharon Angle, Rand Paul. The first is just pure slime, the others are just plain 'stupit'.

Yeah, we did survive that last bunch....barely. But I greatly fear we'll not fare as well with these others.

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