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Wednesday, February 8, 2012

The long march is on; today's flavor — Santorum

Posted By on Wed, Feb 8, 2012 at 7:13 AM

Nate Silver assesses the Santorum sweep last night and sees a long election struggle for the Republican nomination.

These are not the hallmarks of a race with a dominant candidate. Nor, even, of a race with a candidate like John Kerry, the best of a somewhat weak lot of Democrats in 2004, but one whom the party settled upon fairly quickly.

Instead, this race bears more resemblance to something like the 1984 Democratic contest or the 1976 Republican race. There was a favorite in each of those contests — Walter Mondale in 1984 and Gerald Ford in 1976 — and they were ahead in the delegate count more or less from start to finish.

But both contests progressed through all 50 states and were not that far from going to the convention. A few more missteps for Mr. Mondale or Mr. Ford, and the outcome might have been different.

Mondale and Ford. I like the sound of those names in the context.

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