Thursday, October 18, 2012
Presidential politics Analyst warns: Be suspicious of poll 'bounce'
Posted by Max Brantley on Thu, Oct 18, 2012 at 5:53 AM
Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight gives a good analysis of swings in poll numbers, post-debate bounce and the like.
It seems safe, if obvious, to conclude that the electorate is almost evenly split. Also: A popular vote win powered by overwhelming Obama hatred in Dixie doesn't necessarily mean an electoral vote win.
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