Find out more →

Get unlimited access. Become a digital member!

Monday, December 16, 2013

Polling shows dead heats in races for U.S. Senate, Arkansas governor

Posted By on Mon, Dec 16, 2013 at 12:48 PM

click to enlarge HONEST TOIL: Poll results on wage-related question.
  • HONEST TOIL: Poll results on wage-related question.
Public Policy Polling robopolled 1,000 Arkansans in mid-December on the U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races and found them both up for grabs.

Here are the poll results.

U.S. SENATE

Incumbent Democrat Mark Pryor 44
Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Cotton 44


GOVERNOR

Democrat Mike Ross 43
Republican Asa Hutchinson 44

Republicans scoff that 1) PPP is known as a Democratic polling firm (true, but their national results have been as good as any and better than many); 2) there's an uneven representation of identified Republicans and  Democrats (37D-27R). I agree that's somewhat problematic. But we know from a lot of other polling that, while Democrats tend to maintain a slight plurality among Arkansas voters in party identification, we also know that the growing group of self-identified independents (37 percent here) trends heavily Republican.

I like these results because they mirror my thinking. A tossup to be decided by a sliver of undecideds who increasingly lean conservative. Which is why you won't see Mark Pryor or Mike Ross waving a liberal standard in the months ahead. You also have an incumbent senator and a quasi-incumbent based on his frequent statewide races, Asa Hutchinson, who can't crack 50 percent. Get ready for a tsunami of lying advertising.

Noted: Republican polls have favored the Republican candidates.

PPP said the poll was commissioned by Americans United for Change, a progressive lobby. Consequently the poll had a number of minimum wage increase questions, with a 52-38 margin for an increase to $10 an hour and a plurality of 47 percent willing to support a candidate supporting a wage increase.

Pryor enjoyed a gender gap among women, Cotton among men. Same deal on governor's race.

Given the backing of the poll, it's not surprising that PPP's comments and analysis emphasize the value of supporting a minimum wage increase to political candidates.


Tags: , , , , , , , ,

Favorite

Speaking of...

Comments (12)

Showing 1-12 of 12

Add a comment

 
Subscribe to this thread:
Showing 1-12 of 12

Add a comment

More by Max Brantley

  • 'John Doe' sues in Saline County over Ashley Madison data hack

    A lawsuit was filed yesterday in Saline Circuit court by a Benton man using a John Doe alias seeking to represent all those damaged by release of personal information in the hacking of records of Ashley Madison, the website that advertises itself as a way for people to have affairs with married people.
    • Aug 28, 2015
  • Martha Shoffner faces federal sentencing today

    Former Arkansas Treasurer Martha Shoffner will be in federal court at 9 a.m. this morning for sentencing on her conviction of taking kickbacks from bond salesman Steele Stephens for state bond business. She resigned after being trapped in an FBI-recorded sting with Stephens, who's never been charged, wearing a wire.
    • Aug 28, 2015
  • More »

Most Shared

  • Hutchinson's dilemma same as Beebe's and his GOP affiliation doesn't help

    Ernest Dumas writes about the difficulties faced by Gov. Asa Hutchinson in matching the achievements of Democratic Gov. Mike Beebe, even though he, like the majority of the legislature is a Republican. In short, Hutchinson needs Obamacare money, though his party rests on a foundation that hates Obamacare.
  • Visionary Arkansans 2015

    They make an impact.
  • Brantley: South toward home

    A two-week cruise from Vancouver to Alaska was nicely timed for the August heat wave. It dipped into the 40s during my visit to the Hubbard Glacier, loudly "calving" with mighty booms of cracking ice. Here's a brief politically tinged travelogue.
  • New York Times fails again

    If one were of a low and suspicious nature regarding the New York Times' historically inept Washington Bureau, one might suspect yet another example of the "Clinton Rules" — that is, a shaky allegation unsupported by facts.
  • 'The presence of the past'

    A Q&A with poet Davis McCombs

Most Recent Comments

Blogroll

 

© 2015 Arkansas Times | 201 East Markham, Suite 200, Little Rock, AR 72201
Powered by Foundation