http://www.arktimes.com/ArkansasBlog/archives/2012/11/07/winners-and-losers-in-the-polling-world Comments On: Winners and losers in the polling world by Max Brantley en-us Copyright 2013 Arkansas Times. All rights reserved. This RSS file is offered to individuals, Arkansas Times readers, and non-commercial organizations only. Any commercial websites wishing to use this RSS file, please contact Arkansas Times. robert@arktimes.com (Arkansas Times Webmaster) Mon, 20 May 2013 00:00:01 -0500 Mon, 20 May 2013 22:15:00 -0500 Foundation http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss
The real threat to freedom for me is from the GOP.
The GOP tells me I can't smoke pot if want to relieve pain.
The GOP tells me who to vote for if I value my soul.
The GOP tells me who I can or cannot marry.
The GOP tells me women can't have their BC pills covered by insurance.
The GOP tells me the women's boy friend's sexual enhancement drugs are covered by insurance.
The GOP tells me that I can't vote without a picture ID.
The GOP tells me that a women can't have an abortion if she was legitimately raped.
And on...

The SS and medicare I will eventually receive are benefits. Benefits that I will have paid for. Even though a portion of income goes to the SS and medicare services that others depend on now, I also diversify portions of my income into private investments. I do this to the ability that I can because I can't afford to hire a tax attorney and investment brokers to do it for me.

If my private investments lose value then I am counting on SS benefits to be my last resort. I don't think that's me expecting a handout.

If anyone receiving SS and medicare benefits now are abusing the program than I want my lawmakers to fix the fraud, waste and abuse. That's smart legislating. ACA for example spends less money than it recovers in the course of investigating fraudulent medicare claims. In addition it creates more jobs in that it hires more people to investigate the fraud. I wish my private health insurance carrier used some of their profit to do the same.
Posted by Ron Rizzardi]]> Thu, 08 Nov 2012 06:29:59 -0600 Arkansas Times
Now Saleen/Ev, he'd be posting more but he mistook a hole in the ground for his, you know, and stepped in it.

The biggest losers of all are those who don't even realize when they've lost.
Posted by Sound Policy]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 18:30:58 -0600 Arkansas Times Neil Armstrong was not the first person to moon someone.
Lobsters are not “ocean spiders.”
The Keystone Pipeline is not filled with Keystone Light.
Posted by imjustsaying]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 15:45:34 -0600 Arkansas Times Posted by SalineRepublican]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 15:20:57 -0600 Arkansas Times
http://www.buzzfeed.com/mckaycoppins/the-d…

Apparently C. Christie has been chosen to take the fall for Rmoney's failure. Christie and Sandy. Christie is now persona non grata in Rmoney's inner circle. Does anyone believe that Christie cares?
Posted by the outlier]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 15:19:27 -0600 Arkansas Times http://img.izismile.com/img/img5/20121107/…
Posted by the outlier]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 15:07:36 -0600 Arkansas Times
Some where else, some one called you and your fellow travelers not low information voters, but epistemic closure voters. Look it up.

Here, I'll help you:

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/28/books/28…
Posted by the outlier]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 14:53:23 -0600 Arkansas Times http://sciencebasedlife.wordpress.com/2012…

"The models and math that Silver used to accurately predict the president are tremendously less sophisticated and theory-based than other models in science. If you trust Silver on politics, you should support climate-scientists on human-caused global warming, for example. This is not to say that complexity begets truth. But if rigorous statistics and models are your bar to vault, climate science leaps far higher than Silver’s predictions."

Look here. I've got a new name for this article. 10 things Republicans think Obama overcame. http://www.policymic.com/articles/11363/10…
Posted by imjustsaying]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 14:44:31 -0600 Arkansas Times Posted by couldn't be better]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 14:42:53 -0600 Arkansas Times
Last night at the Republican watch party I told the 8 people at my table at 8pm that we were going to lose when I heard that North Carolina was too close to call. Several told me that I was negative and crazy but I realized at that point that Max Brantley and Dan Mitchell were right. If my projections (which I got off Fox News from Carl Rove) were correct then North Carolina would have been decided early in the evening for Romney.

I did give Max and Dan some love yesterday concerning their predictions because I was starting to have second thoughts even then. http://thedailyhatch.org/2012/11/06/are-ma…

I had to delete all those posts to President Elect Romney but I have a new target now:

http://thedailyhatch.org/2012/11/07/open-l…
Posted by SalineRepublican]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 14:40:39 -0600 Arkansas Times "welcome to the new government...Ineptocracy- a system of government where the least capable to lead are elected by the least capable of prodcuing, and where the members of society least likely to sustain themselves or succeed, are rewarded with goods and services paid for by the confiscated wealth of a dimishing number of producers."


Romney didn't get elected because we've reached the tipping point of people wanting money and services from the government for government to make all their decisions for them. Freedom isn't important to half the country. They want stuff. And if you have it, they want yours. There's only one Party now. The GiveAway Party. GOP is now dead (and I'm a Republican). Why? Because the only way for the GOP to compete...EVER...is to give away stuff. It's is now the American (or illegal American) way.
Posted by Sunshine]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 14:40:33 -0600 Arkansas Times
SalineRepublican quoted: "I have even written over thirty posts over the last month that I plan to post after the election and these posts are called, "Obama, why I am glad you were defeated, because of your view on ..."

Where's Saline for this thread? I wanted to know what crow recipe was eaten. A crow soup? Crow drowned in ketchup or barbecue sauce? Seasoned with Cavender's and rosemary and baked at 350 for an hour? Chicken fried crow with sides of corn and 30 unposted "Obama Defeated" posts? SalineRepublican has two holes to stick those posts in.

It's not just a win for Nate. I think this is a win for the reality based community. Ron Suskind (back in 2004): [Karl Rove] said that guys like me were "in what we call the reality-based community," which he defined as people who "believe that solutions emerge from your judicious study of discernible reality." ... "That's not the way the world really works anymore," he continued. "We're an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you're studying that reality—judiciously, as you will—we'll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that's how things will sort out. We're history's actors…and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do."
Posted by imjustsaying]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 14:07:37 -0600 Arkansas Times The Atlantic Wire goes into detail with a handy little chart ranking the pundendum.
"It's Time to Grade Pundit Predictions"
http://www.theatlanticwire.com/politics/20…
http://tinyurl.com/bk74cmy
Posted by YossarianMinderbinder]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 13:44:31 -0600 Arkansas Times Posted by FSMXNA]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 13:25:35 -0600 Arkansas Times Posted by eLwood]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 12:46:51 -0600 Arkansas Times >Was this done to spin the media and help create a self-fulfilling prophecy? <

You sir have named it, you win!
Posted by eLwood]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 12:45:46 -0600 Arkansas Times To quote Will Rogers

I am not a member of any organized political party - I am a Democrat.
Posted by Citizen1]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 12:31:33 -0600 Arkansas Times
BUT they were already laying groundwork to blame the whole thing on Romney. During the primaries Fox was the lead "anyone but Romney" station and grasped onto any candidate that came in over Romney. That wacky wishing got Fox to tout all the loonies. Bachman, Cain, Santorum,....

They had Rasmusen on and titled him a polster and Fox News contributor. Megan Kelly asked him who would win the presidential race.

He was a deer in the headights! If he tells the truth he probably loses his Fox Contributor gig and if he says it is too close to call he loses his accurate polster gig.

The closest he would come to an answer was to say many factors could have an influence.
Posted by Citizen1]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 12:28:11 -0600 Arkansas Times Posted by SkyPilot]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 12:23:42 -0600 Arkansas Times Posted by dave23]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 11:59:13 -0600 Arkansas Times
Poll aggregation is a useful tool, but even after the results, Silver's 91 percent probability estimate looks inflated to me. His theory will have to be tested over several election cycles before it is validated. I have my doubts that it is reliable over time. But for now, he will be worshipped as a political guru.

Next time, let's you and me make some bets, with Silver as the oddsmaker.
Posted by radical centrist]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 11:54:02 -0600 Arkansas Times Posted by Sound Policy]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 11:40:17 -0600 Arkansas Times Posted by radical centrist]]> Wed, 07 Nov 2012 11:28:23 -0600 Arkansas Times