Arkansas Blog

The Republicans stole Florida once, and they can do it again. Along with Ohio and Penn.

Be afraid. Be very afraid.

When the Ruling Party is cornered like this, another 9/11 is not out of the question. Or an invasion of Iraq, based on TERRORISTS. Or perhaps using our suspension of Habeas Corpus to imprison key activists on suspicion of treason.

Maybe Obama should replace his secret service agents with people he's hired himself.

This administration is the enemy of all freedom-loving people, of more direct and lasting danger to us than Al Qaeda, and cannot be trusted to surrender power willingly.

From http://fivethirtyeight.com:

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What's up with those Quinnipiac polls? Why have I listed them twice?

Well, Quinnipiac broke its sample into two halves: pre-debate and post-debate. For all intents and purposes, these are two separate surveys, and so that's how I list them. Obama gained ground in the post-debate versions in all three states (OH, PA, and FL).

More importantly, however, the polls represent significant gains for Obama since the last time Quinnipiac had been in the field in early September, particularly in Florida, where he had been 7 points behind before.

The McCain camp is going a little crazy over these polls. Usually, when a campaign does something like that, it's worried about morale. But do their complaints have any basis in fact?

Quinnipiac's polls have shown a slight Democratic lean this cycle -- they've been 1-2 points more favorable to Dems than contemporaneous polls of their states. From what I can tell, their head of polling (Peter Brown) has fairly conservative politics, so I don't know that it can be called a partisan lean. But that is the side that the polls have tended to end up upon nevertheless.

At the same time, they are highly-rated polls, use large sample sizes, and have plenty of rich trendlines for comparison. Is it possible that they are outliers to a certain degree? Possibly -- maybe even probably -- but as I intimated yesterday, with Obama's surge nationally it was inevitable that we were eventually going to get an oh sh*t set of state polling for Obama. There clearly seems to have been some movement toward Obama in Florida, as well as in Pennsylvania, where the Morning Call tracker has had him gaining a point literally every day since its inception. Ohio, I am somewhat less convinced about, but InsiderAdvantage also gives him the lead there (as well as a 6-point lead in Virginia).

"When the Ruling Party is cornered like this, another 9/11 is not out of the question. Or an invasion of Iraq, based on TERRORISTS. Or perhaps using our suspension of Habeas Corpus to imprison key activists on suspicion of treason. "

How about a $700,000,000,000 Wall Street bailout?

Well, exactly. Billions for Haliburton, Iraq for Exxon, and now a trillion for wall street.

Oh, and check out the new CNN poll. Link at name.

What are you worrying about? Acorn can always register some dead people and have enough votes to get your guy elected.

No problem. Can you imagine how many cemeteries there are in these states? ACORN will have no trouble registering enough dead people to get the votes needed to get obama yo mama elected.

I love you, strangelove!!! I never thought of registering dead people to vote. And, I can do it in the comfort of my own home. I have not quite figured out how to get their signatures, can you help me out with that?
Thanks,
kiz