George Bush was in Arkansas this week "Republicans in Arkansas and elsewhere will surprise pollsters and pundits again" President George W. Bush told a cheering crowd at a rally for Arkansas Republican candidates Monday. He was right - who would have predicted such a blow-out?
I don't have the state-wide election results yet, but here are the Pulaski County results. th
Some interesting things I have concluded looking at the numbers.
If you are a republican, no matter how bad of a candidate you are, even if you were just fired by the Republican governor, you will get a minimum of 30% of the vote. ( I'm thinking go of the treasurer's race with Chris Morris, who had about a $5,000 budget and had been told not to run by the Governor ) Even if you are Republican Mickey "Stubby" Stumbaugh, the mayor of Cabot, hyou will get 31% -- you can't do worse as a republican it seems.
So if that is the absolute worst a Republican can do - that is the benchmark - its a "gimme" they will get 30%. That means, for all of Hutchinson's money, time, and effort, he "earned" only 8%, Gunner, "Lil' Tom" Delay only got 4%, Lagrone got 6%, Mayberry got about 3%, and Holt got about 8% as well.
In the race where there was no Republican, the Greens got about !5%, meaning at least 1/2 of the Republicans voted for the Democrat instead of the Green party, but for the most part did not simply abstain.
62% of Pulaski County registered voters turned out -- which is amazing to me.
Asa didn't even get 1000 more votes than Holt
I don't have the state-wide election results yet, but here are the Pulaski County results. th
Some interesting things I have concluded looking at the numbers.
If you are a republican, no matter how bad of a candidate you are, even if you were just fired by the Republican governor, you will get a minimum of 30% of the vote. ( I'm thinking go of the treasurer's race with Chris Morris, who had about a $5,000 budget and had been told not to run by the Governor ) Even if you are Republican Mickey "Stubby" Stumbaugh, the mayor of Cabot, hyou will get 31% -- you can't do worse as a republican it seems.
So if that is the absolute worst a Republican can do - that is the benchmark - its a "gimme" they will get 30%. That means, for all of Hutchinson's money, time, and effort, he "earned" only 8%, Gunner, "Lil' Tom" Delay only got 4%, Lagrone got 6%, Mayberry got about 3%, and Holt got about 8% as well.
In the race where there was no Republican, the Greens got about !5%, meaning at least 1/2 of the Republicans voted for the Democrat instead of the Green party, but for the most part did not simply abstain.
62% of Pulaski County registered voters turned out -- which is amazing to me.
Asa didn't even get 1000 more votes than Holt
SUMMARY REPORT 2006 GENERAL ELECTION UNOFFICIAL
RUN DATE:11/07/06 NOVEMBER 7, 2006
RUN TIME:11:00 PM PULASKI COUNTY, AR
VOTES PERCENT
PRECINCTS COUNTED (OF 133). . . . . 133 100.00
REGISTERED VOTERS - TOTAL . . . . . 177,981
BALLOTS CAST - TOTAL. . . . . . . 110,428
VOTER TURNOUT - TOTAL . . . . . . 62.04
US CONGRESS DISTRICT 2
VOTE FOR 1
CONGRESSMAN VIC SNYDER (DEM) . . . . 72,475 66.53
ANDY MAYBERRY (REP) . . . . . . . 36,461 33.47
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 5
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 1,487
GOVERNOR
VOTE FOR 1
ASA HUTCHINSON (REP). . . . . . . 38,579 35.14
ROD BRYAN (IND) . . . . . . . . 2,515 2.29
ATTORNEY GENERAL MIKE BEEBE (DEM) . . 66,700 60.75
JIM LENDALL (GRE). . . . . . . . 1,928 1.76
WRITE-IN. . . . . . . . . . . 71 .06
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 12
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 623
LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR
VOTE FOR 1
SENATOR JIM HOLT (REP) . . . . . . 37,791 34.82
BILL HALTER (DEM). . . . . . . . 70,753 65.18
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 6
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 1,878
SECRETARY OF STATE
VOTE FOR 1
CHARLIE DANIELS (DEM) . . . . . . 67,750 62.67
JIM LAGRONE (REP). . . . . . . . 36,760 34.00
RALPH "MARTY" SCULLY (GRE). . . . . 3,595 3.33
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 3
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 2,320
STATE TREASURER
VOTE FOR 1
MARTHA A. SHOFFNER (DEM) . . . . . 70,592 66.06
BROCK CARPENTER (GRE) . . . . . . 4,275 4.00
CHRIS MORRIS (REP) . . . . . . . 31,997 29.94
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 5
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 3,559
STATE AUDITOR
VOTE FOR 1
MICHAEL JOSEPH BOLZENIUS (GRE) . . . 14,583 14.41
AUDITOR OF STATE JIM WOOD (DEM) . . . 86,633 85.59
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 1
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 9,211
ATTORNEY GENERAL
VOTE FOR 1
GUNNER DELAY (REP) . . . . . . . 34,123 31.69
REBEKAH KENNEDY (GRE) . . . . . . 4,819 4.48
REPRESENTATIVE DUSTIN MCDANIEL (DEM) . 68,740 63.84
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 3
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 2,743
STATE LAND COMMISSIONER
VOTE FOR 1
R. DAVID LEWIS (GRE). . . . . . . 17,472 17.59
MARK WILCOX (DEM). . . . . . . . 81,861 82.41
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 1
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 11,094
\
LITTLE ROCK MAYOR CITY WIDE
VOTE FOR 1
BILL WALKER (IND). . . . . . . . 11,100 19.60
MARK STODOLA (IND) . . . . . . . 27,197 48.04
JESSE MASON (IND). . . . . . . . 4,584 8.10
BARBARA GRAVES (IND). . . . . . . 13,738 24.26
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 4
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 1,745
Referred Question No. 1
VOTE FOR 1
FOR . . . . . . . . . . . . 75,018 73.24
AGAINST . . . . . . . . . . . 27,411 26.76
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 4
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 7,995
Proposed Constitutional Amendment No. 1
VOTE FOR 1
FOR . . . . . . . . . . . . 76,571 73.36
AGAINST . . . . . . . . . . . 27,801 26.64
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 7
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 6,049
WE THE UNDERSIGNED DO HEREBY CERTIFY








Comments
15% percent for the Green when there was no Republican on the ballot may indicate that your guess that 30% is the floor for Republicans may be generous.
Being on the ballot regardless of party is apparently worth 15%.
In beautiful Sherwood a terrible candidate for alderman who spent zero dollars, reportedly knocked no doors and who put out no signs drew 18% of the vote. This is a guy who had angered most everyone he met in his prior gadlfy campaigns.
You have to start suspecting that in non-high profile campaigns that something close to 20% of the votes are cast by random selection awarding 10% to each candidate.
Posted by: Well | November 8, 2006 11:35 AM
Im sure this is a very stupid question, but what are overvotes and undervotes?
Posted by: tina | November 8, 2006 05:29 PM
Overvote means someone voted for more than one candidate in a race. Undervote means they voted for no one in that race.
Posted by: Well | November 9, 2006 12:00 AM
It's obvious from these numbers that Jim Holt is indeed Mr. Republican of Arkansas.
I say again to Clint Reed that to save and reform his Party Jim Holt should be given a major position of ARP.
_
Posted by: Lwood
|
November 9, 2006 03:33 AM
thanks for the explanation.
Posted by: tina | November 27, 2006 12:19 PM