Arkansas Times

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George Bush was in Arkansas this week "Republicans in Arkansas and elsewhere will surprise pollsters and pundits again" President George W. Bush told a cheering crowd at a rally for Arkansas Republican candidates Monday. He was right - who would have predicted such a blow-out?

I don't have the state-wide election results yet, but here are the Pulaski County results. th

Some interesting things I have concluded looking at the numbers.

If you are a republican, no matter how bad of a candidate you are, even if you were just fired by the Republican governor, you will get a minimum of 30% of the vote. ( I'm thinking go of the treasurer's race with Chris Morris, who had about a $5,000 budget and had been told not to run by the Governor ) Even if you are Republican Mickey "Stubby" Stumbaugh, the mayor of Cabot, hyou will get 31% -- you can't do worse as a republican it seems.

So if that is the absolute worst a Republican can do - that is the benchmark - its a "gimme" they will get 30%.   That means, for all of Hutchinson's money, time, and effort, he "earned" only 8%, Gunner, "Lil' Tom" Delay only got 4%, Lagrone got 6%, Mayberry got about 3%, and Holt got about 8% as well. 

In the race where there was no Republican, the Greens got about !5%, meaning at least 1/2 of the Republicans voted for the Democrat instead of the Green party, but for the most part did not simply abstain.

62% of Pulaski County registered voters turned out -- which is amazing to me.

Asa didn't even get 1000 more votes than Holt

SUMMARY REPORT        2006 GENERAL ELECTION            UNOFFICIAL
RUN DATE:11/07/06 NOVEMBER 7, 2006
RUN TIME:11:00 PM PULASKI COUNTY, AR

VOTES PERCENT

PRECINCTS COUNTED (OF 133). . . . . 133 100.00
REGISTERED VOTERS - TOTAL . . . . . 177,981
BALLOTS CAST - TOTAL. . . . . . . 110,428
VOTER TURNOUT - TOTAL . . . . . . 62.04

US CONGRESS DISTRICT 2
VOTE FOR 1
CONGRESSMAN VIC SNYDER (DEM) . . . . 72,475 66.53
ANDY MAYBERRY (REP) . . . . . . . 36,461 33.47
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 5
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 1,487

GOVERNOR
VOTE FOR 1
ASA HUTCHINSON (REP). . . . . . . 38,579 35.14
ROD BRYAN (IND) . . . . . . . . 2,515 2.29
ATTORNEY GENERAL MIKE BEEBE (DEM) . . 66,700 60.75
JIM LENDALL (GRE). . . . . . . . 1,928 1.76
WRITE-IN. . . . . . . . . . . 71 .06
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 12
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 623

LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR
VOTE FOR 1
SENATOR JIM HOLT (REP) . . . . . . 37,791 34.82
BILL HALTER (DEM). . . . . . . . 70,753 65.18
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 6
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 1,878

SECRETARY OF STATE
VOTE FOR 1
CHARLIE DANIELS (DEM) . . . . . . 67,750 62.67
JIM LAGRONE (REP). . . . . . . . 36,760 34.00
RALPH "MARTY" SCULLY (GRE). . . . . 3,595 3.33
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 3
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 2,320

STATE TREASURER
VOTE FOR 1
MARTHA A. SHOFFNER (DEM) . . . . . 70,592 66.06
BROCK CARPENTER (GRE) . . . . . . 4,275 4.00
CHRIS MORRIS (REP) . . . . . . . 31,997 29.94
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 5
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 3,559

STATE AUDITOR
VOTE FOR 1
MICHAEL JOSEPH BOLZENIUS (GRE) . . . 14,583 14.41
AUDITOR OF STATE JIM WOOD (DEM) . . . 86,633 85.59
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 1
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 9,211

ATTORNEY GENERAL
VOTE FOR 1
GUNNER DELAY (REP) . . . . . . . 34,123 31.69
REBEKAH KENNEDY (GRE) . . . . . . 4,819 4.48
REPRESENTATIVE DUSTIN MCDANIEL (DEM) . 68,740 63.84
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 3
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 2,743

STATE LAND COMMISSIONER
VOTE FOR 1
R. DAVID LEWIS (GRE). . . . . . . 17,472 17.59
MARK WILCOX (DEM). . . . . . . . 81,861 82.41
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 1
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 11,094
\

LITTLE ROCK MAYOR CITY WIDE
VOTE FOR 1
BILL WALKER (IND). . . . . . . . 11,100 19.60
MARK STODOLA (IND) . . . . . . . 27,197 48.04
JESSE MASON (IND). . . . . . . . 4,584 8.10
BARBARA GRAVES (IND). . . . . . . 13,738 24.26
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 4
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 1,745

Referred Question No. 1
VOTE FOR 1
FOR . . . . . . . . . . . . 75,018 73.24
AGAINST . . . . . . . . . . . 27,411 26.76
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 4
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 7,995

Proposed Constitutional Amendment No. 1
VOTE FOR 1
FOR . . . . . . . . . . . . 76,571 73.36
AGAINST . . . . . . . . . . . 27,801 26.64
Over Votes . . . . . . . . . 7
Under Votes . . . . . . . . . 6,049












WE THE UNDERSIGNED DO HEREBY CERTIFY

Comments

15% percent for the Green when there was no Republican on the ballot may indicate that your guess that 30% is the floor for Republicans may be generous.

Being on the ballot regardless of party is apparently worth 15%.

In beautiful Sherwood a terrible candidate for alderman who spent zero dollars, reportedly knocked no doors and who put out no signs drew 18% of the vote. This is a guy who had angered most everyone he met in his prior gadlfy campaigns.

You have to start suspecting that in non-high profile campaigns that something close to 20% of the votes are cast by random selection awarding 10% to each candidate.

Im sure this is a very stupid question, but what are overvotes and undervotes?

Overvote means someone voted for more than one candidate in a race. Undervote means they voted for no one in that race.

It's obvious from these numbers that Jim Holt is indeed Mr. Republican of Arkansas.
I say again to Clint Reed that to save and reform his Party Jim Holt should be given a major position of ARP.
_

thanks for the explanation.

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