What do the polls mean? | Arkansas Blog

Thursday, October 5, 2006

What do the polls mean?

Posted By on Thu, Oct 5, 2006 at 5:36 AM

Brummett notes the wide differences in various polling, but notes, too, that every one known favors Beebe.

He finds striking the high favorability ratings for Beebe and Mark Pryor, candidates who aim squarely at the mushy middle of the political spectrum.

There is a conventional wisdom holding that the current political climate is unusually unfriendly to Republicans because of the war-driven unpopularity of President Bush and the scandal-driven unpopularity of the Republican Congress.

So, which Arkansas politicians had the highest unfavorable ratings? Well, Blanche Lincoln was up there a bit, at 28 percent unfavorable. But the distant leaders in political unpopularity happened to be the two most prominent Arkansas Republicans. Mike Huckabee had a rather striking unfavorable rating of 42 percent. Asa nipped at his heels at 39 percent.

What does this mean to the governor's race? Just this: The onus is all on Hutchinson, and it's to do two things. The first is to separate Beebe from Pryor. The second is to separate himself from his party.



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