Huckabee takes silver | Arkansas Blog

Saturday, January 19, 2008

Huckabee takes silver

Posted By on Sat, Jan 19, 2008 at 9:32 PM

Huck has just pulled up short in South Carolina, polling 30 percent to John McCain’s 33 with 97 percent of precincts reporting. Many analysts said that a second place finish in SC would effectively end Huck’s campaign – if he can’t take a conservative Southern state suited to his evangelical ethos, what can he take? – but the candidate disagrees. He’s staying in.

The concession speech had two points of emphasis. One was congratulations to John McCain as well as congratulations to himself for running clean campaigns in a notoriously dirty state – strange considering that Huck’s proxies were running up a hell of a phone bill with aggressive robocalling. The second focused on populist economic issues. Not a word about faith. Apparently Huckabee is still calling out to voters beyond his evangelical base.

Signs are that they’re not listening. According to this exit poll, 60 percent of SC’s voters identified as evangelicals, but Huckabee failed to get a majority of them yet again – 43 percent. He only polled 14 percent among those who were non-evangelical. My calculations show that around 85 percent of Huckabee voters were evangelical. Through five contests he’s proven incapable of expanding his base, which spells doom for him the way the race stands now.

For now the entire Republican field, with the exception of Duncan Hunter, is staying in. Even in the event that someone dropped out, though, I’m not sure that Huckabee would be able to siphon off that many supporters. There’s been some speculation that Thompson hurt Huckabee in SC, but it may not be as simple as that. Thompson polled evenly among evangelicals and non-evangelicals. Huckabee could expect some of the evangelical portion of that, but it’s not clear how much. From what I know of Thompson voters they’re for Reagan-conservative values – which is not exactly Huck’s brand of conservatism.

From the ArkTimes store

Favorite

Comments (10)

Showing 1-10 of 10

Add a comment

 
Subscribe to this thread:
Showing 1-10 of 10

Add a comment

More by John C. Williams

Readers also liked…

  • Super Bowl line

    Over to you.
    • Feb 7, 2016
  • Trump's strangulation of Obamacare

    If he can't kill it outright, Donald Trump will do all he can to cripple Obamacare. Vox has detailed reporting on deep cuts in federal spending that support nonprofit agencies that help people sign up for coverage under the Affordable Care Act.
    • Sep 18, 2017
  • Auditor Lea caught not telling the truth

    State Auditor Andrea Lea, who began her tenure in statewide office with a degree of competence unseen in some other Republican counterparts (think Treasurer Dennis Milligan particularly), is becoming more deeply mired in a political scandal.
    • Mar 4, 2016

Most Shared

  • Bad health care bill, again

    Wait! Postpone tax reform and everything else for a while longer because the Senate is going to try to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act one more time before September ends and while it can do it with the votes of only 50 senators.
  • Sex on campus

    Look, the Great Campus Rape Crisis was mainly hype all along. What Vice President Joe Biden described as an epidemic of sexual violence sweeping American college campuses in 2011 was vastly overstated.
  • The inadequate legacy of Brown

    LRSD continues to abdicate its responsibility to educate poor black students.

Most Viewed

Most Recent Comments

Blogroll

 

© 2017 Arkansas Times | 201 East Markham, Suite 200, Little Rock, AR 72201
Powered by Foundation