Election watch | Arkansas Blog

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Election watch

Posted By on Tue, May 13, 2008 at 2:37 PM

File comments here tonight on the West Virginia Democratic primary. Media script: If Hillary wins by less than 25 it's a loss. If she wins by more, it doesn't matter anyway. Huck commentates on MSNBarack starting at 5 p.m.

6:30 PM UPDATE: West Virginia is called for Clinton when the polls close. It's 63-30 at 8:36 p.m. A surprise only in that the cable nets didn't show their usual reluctance to give Clinton good news immediately. Outrageous quote of the night: Chris Matthews, "Hillary Clinton is the Al Sharpton of white people." Misogyny on parade.

Far more interesting is the race for an open congressional seat in Mississippi where a Democrat almost won the blood-red district without a runoff. Both parties have poured massive sums into the contest. That's the race to watch tonight. Some Arkie politicos have been toiling in this race. The Huck PAC is supporting the Repub, too.

8:30 PM UPDATE: Talking Points says the Democrat is ahead 52-48 with about half the votes counted.  And now AP has called the race for the Democrat. And final numbers, 54-46, look good for fall, don't they? Hey, is it sweet? The Republican candidate is a Confederate sympathizer. (Though that's probably a plus in Miss.)  The Democratic Party will go all the way supporting the winner in the fall, not be a late arrival with financial help. This was a factor that forced this runoff in the first place. It's a pickup for the Dems. Sweet. Add it to Louisiana and House Speaker Hastert's seat. Do you feel the earth move, Arkansas Red?

MEDIA COMMENTARY UPDATE

Call it bitter. Call it accurate. The national media, after an hour of watching cable TV, is so opposed to Clinton that it's breathtaking.

Here's the deal, which the cable analysts won't acknowledge. NEITHER candidate -- Obama or Clinton -- can win a majority of delegate votes without the super delegates. Come convention time, Obama will have a lead among pledged delegates of about 100 or so among more than 4,000. Nearly a dead heat. Hillary might have an edge in the popular vote, if you are willing to count the people who actually walked into a voting booth and, fully informed, pulled a lever for Hillary. (I know, those people don't deserve the franchise, in the view of Obamaists.) So then you have a tough situation. An essential dead heat -- in delegates and popular vote and an edge for Hillary among total electoral votes of states won. Do you go with the leader in pledged delegates, including all those delegates won by proportional voting rules and caucuses in Republican states, or do you go with the winner in big-electoral-vote states? And, if you go with Hillary, do you risk obliterating a loyal Democratic voter bloc, black voters?

It's a tough call. It's by no means a laydown on which course is the proper answer and I still believe the super delegates, faced with this dilemma, will opt for Obama. But it's a tough call. And it is totally unfair of the media to say Hillary is jousting at windmills to continue to make her case for the nomination. They hate her. They want her gone. It's that simple. Fight on, gal.

PS -- Mike Huckabee hit home runs tonight as an MSNBC commentator. Gracious. Bipartisan. Well-modulated. He's got a future.

BALLGAME UPDATE

I did drop by the ballgame. Beautiful night at the ballpark, despite threat of rain, and a small crowd, so it was easy to move around. So how come they don't sell a real American beer -- not light, not ale, etc. -- in the beer garden? Like a Michelob? Diamond Bear and Fat Tire and Bitburger and all that is fine, but a plain old middle American lager is hard to beat in the bleachers. If you ask me. Not that anyone did.

 

From the ArkTimes store

Favorite

Comments (7)

Showing 1-7 of 7

Add a comment

 
Subscribe to this thread:
Showing 1-7 of 7

Add a comment

More by Max Brantley

Readers also liked…

  • Deputy killed, police chief wounded in Sebastian County. Suspect in custody

    40/29 TV reports that two law officers were shot about 7 a.m. today near Hackett in Sebastian County and at mid-afternoon came word that one of them had died. Later in the day a suspect was taken into custody in the shooting.
    • Aug 10, 2016
  • The LR chamber does the public's business. Is it accountable? Blue Hog on the case.

    Matt Campbell, lawyer and Blue Hog Report blogger, has sent a Freedom of Information Act request to Jay Chessir, director of the Little Rock Regional Chamber of Commerce, and Mayor Mark Stodola related to the publicity stunt yesterday  built around withdrawing from the mayor's rash pronouncement that the city would seek an Amazon HQ2 project even though the city  didn't meet the company's criteria.
    • Oct 20, 2017
  • Satanic Temple: Make Rapert pay for Ten Commandments monument

    A petition drive has begun to encourage a demand that Sen. Jason Rapert pay for the legal fees in defending his Ten Commandments monument proposed for the state Capitol grounds. It's more work by the Satanic Temple, which has fought church-state entanglement around the country.
    • Aug 28, 2016

Most Shared

  • A mayor stands up against freeway widening. No. Not in Little Rock.

    Another booming city, Indianapolis, fights ever wider urban freeways. Meanwhile, back in Little Rock .....
  • In the margins

    A rediscovered violin concerto brings an oft-forgotten composer into the limelight.
  • Donald Trump is historically unpopular — and not necessarily where you think

    My colleagues John Ray and Jesse Bacon and I estimate, in the first analysis of its kind for the 2018 election season, that the president's waning popularity isn't limited to coastal cities and states. The erosion of his electoral coalition has spread to The Natural State, extending far beyond the college towns and urban centers that voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016. From El Dorado to Sherwood, Fayetteville to Hot Springs, the president's approval rating is waning.
  • Arkansans join House vote to gut Americans with Disabilities Act

    Despite fierce protests from disabled people, the U.S. House voted today, mostly on party lines, to make it harder to sue businesses for violating the Americans with Disabilities Act. Of course Arkansas congressmen were on the wrong side.

Most Recent Comments

 

© 2018 Arkansas Times | 201 East Markham, Suite 200, Little Rock, AR 72201
Powered by Foundation