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Saturday, May 31, 2008

Back to you

Posted By on Sat, May 31, 2008 at 4:12 PM

I may check in. But maybe not.

For the record: It looks like some delegates from Michigan and Florida will be seated at the Democratic National Convention, despite months of media and others' declarations that this would not happen.

UPDATE: Michigan and Florida will be seated, but each pledged delegate will get only half a vote. The delegation will be split in Florida according to the vote. In Michigan, Clinton's delegates were reduced, prompting a vow from Harold Ickes for a credentials challenge at the convention. This ups the number of delegates needed for a nominating majority. Obama will not likely reach it through the end of the primary season Tuesday. The super delegates will, finally, decide the outcome,  but Obama will need so few that his win is all but certain. Only 15 or 20 announcements in his favor next week out of some 200 remaining uncommitted super delegates probably will do it.

Final thought: Think how much of the campaign was shaped and commentary influenced by the repeated assertions from Obama and his supporters that Florida and Michigan would not and should not participate in the selection process.

It was a good day for Obama's resignation from his church, which had raucously cheered the priest who followed up the former pastor's act last week with an incendiary sexist and racially tinged performance. The big rules decision will provide cover for more embarrassment for Obama on account of his church. I have a feeling the Republican clip file is growing all the same.

PPS -- Most useful remarks today were by Sen. Carl Levin, who reminded the rules committee that New Hampshire wasn't punished when it leapfrogged its primary so no interim votes would be held, as had been intended, between its primary and the Iowa caucus. I'm with Levin. It makes no sense for Iowa and New Hampshire to always go first. The party should change the process (and encourage a departure from caucuses altogether in favor of something more democratic.)

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