The electoral crystal ball | Arkansas Blog

Friday, July 18, 2008

The electoral crystal ball

Posted By on Fri, Jul 18, 2008 at 8:43 AM

To continue the presidential guessing game begun by last night's note on the Rasmussen poll in Arkansas, a UA politics junkie sends along some links to spur discussion.

First, there's Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball. The U. of Va. academic's electoral vote analysis concludes, essentially, that it's too close to call.

Don't like that? Here's a nice electoral map based on data amassed by an American computer expert who teaches in The Netherlands. He updates regularly. Currently, he says it's a runaway for Obama. He predicts big Dem gains in the House and the Senate, too. Let's hope so. Bye-bye Joe, if so.

Then there's Pollster.com, which compiles, among tons of other data, a running average of all national presidential polling. Currently, it's 46.4 Obama, 43.1 McCain.

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