Poll porn | Arkansas Blog

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Poll porn

Posted By on Tue, Oct 28, 2008 at 11:35 AM

Blogger Atrios uses the phrase "poll porn" to signify unusually good results. That would certainly apply to Pew's latest -- a 15 percent lead for Obama among likely voters and a 19 percent edge among people who have ALREADY voted.

What I found most interesting was the breakdown and Obama's lead in virtually every sub-category of voters. He even had a dead-even score -- 44 to 44 -- among white voters. He still trails among white men. And white evangelicals still favor McCain heavily.

McCain's lead among evangelicals is potentially a great thing. If the election goes Obama's  way (and if, say, the Family Council gets dealt a couple of defeats on ballot issues in Arkansas), that would be solid evidence, on top of plenty that already exists, that timid legislators need not cower every time the James Dobson/Eagle Forum/Family Council crowd issues jeremiads on pet  issues at the legislature and in Congress. It might even move the Republican Party to realize that it has let a shrill, narrow bunch control the party for too long. That realization will make the GOP more competitive, I know. But marginalizing that group would improve the quality of political life for all.

It's the economy, health care and war and peace, stupid. Not government-sponsored proselytizing and oppression of sexual minorities and women.


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