Obama numbers crunching | Arkansas Blog

Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Obama numbers crunching

Posted By on Tue, Nov 18, 2008 at 11:17 AM

Nate Silver continues to crunch presidential election number. Here, he's looking at the correlation between the percentage of black voters in a Southern states and the percentage of white voters who voted for Obama. The blacker the state the smaller the percentage of the white vote, generally speaking.

I noted one mildly positive thing. In Arkansas, 30 percent of white voters favored Obama. Could have been a lot worse. Other lower percentages in the South and region: Oklahoma (29); South Carolina (26); Texas (26); Georgia (23); Louisiana (14); Mississippi (11); Alabama (10).

Better: Florida (42); Missouri (42); Virginia (39); Kentucky (36); North Carolina (35); Tennessee (34).

Maybe we could adopt the motto that Calvin Trillin, I think, once suggested for New Jersey:

"Arkansas: Could be worse"

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