Prediction: Allen to win 'Idol' | Arkansas Blog

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Prediction: Allen to win 'Idol'

Posted By on Tue, May 19, 2009 at 3:25 PM

Think Progress reports:

Rep. Brian Bilbray (R-CA) took to the House floor last week to sing the praises of American Idol contestant Adam Lambert, who is the favorite to win the show's finale on Wednesday. Commending Lambert for "his amazing journey" and for being "such a great star on American Idol," Bilbray read his name into the congressional record last week. "As one of Adam's favorite artists, Lenny Kravitz, once said: 'I just need to know that I did the very best I could and that I was true to myself," Bilbray noted. "Adam, we will be rooting for you and looking forward to your next unique and creative performance."

Where's the love, members of the Arkansas delegation, for Kris Allen?

UPDATE I: U.S. Rep. Vic Snyder, Allen's congressmen, sends this comment through a spokesman: "So far Kris seems to have wowed America quite well without any government help.  Why jinx him now?  GO KRIS!"

UPDATE II: Bigger news. American Idol is now fodder for Congressional Quarterly, one of the oldest and most serious names in the political reporting world. Article here applies political metrics to the hunt to be the winner of the talent show and predicts that Kris Allen's Southern roots will propel him to victory. A sample:

So what does any of this Southern political history have to do with American Idol?

Simple: American Idol is an election contest that, in style and format, most closely resembles a traditional Southern primary election, where finishing in second place in the first round of voting often leads to victory in the final round of voting.

And based on a close analysis of Southern primary election results, we can determine a pattern, draw conclusions, and then apply that analysis to this week's season finale of American Idol.

Consider:

The first data point we see demonstrated in the Southern primaries is that the more liberal candidate takes the early lead, but the more conservative candidate emerges victorious in the end.

Why?

Because in most of these elections, most of the electorate was conservative, but the conservative vote was split in the first round of voting among several different candidates; meanwhile, the liberal vote rallied behind just one candidate, and gave him a plurality in the first round.

 

NEWS RELEASE

CONWAY, Ark. – (APRIL 17, 2009) – As “American Idol” contestant Kris Allen eyes a spot in the show’s top five Tuesday, Arkansas stands behind its native son. An Official Citation issued Friday by two Arkansas Senators expresses support for Allen and states that he brings great pride to the Natural State.
 
State Senator Gilbert Baker, who represents Allen's hometown of Conway, and Senator Sue Madison of Fayetteville co-authored the citation to demonstrate statewide support for the singer. Both senators are encouraging Arkansans to vote for Allen each Tuesday.
 
“Kris Allen is a tremendous ambassador for Arkansas. He reminds of all of us, especially during this challenging time, that Arkansas is the land of opportunity and anything is possible if you believe in yourself and work hard while following your dreams,” Sen. Madison said. “Arkansans are proud of Kris and will continue to call and text in support of him each week. We wish him well as the ‘American Idol’ competition continues.”
 
The citation notes that Allen is a lifelong Arkansan and the product of Arkansas public schools. It acknowledges Allen’s work with New Life Church in Central Arkansas, Chi Alpha at the University of Central Arkansas (UCA) and missionary work in Morocco, Spain, Mozambique, South Africa, Thailand and Burma.
 
“Kris Allen is doing a great job representing Arkansas in this intense competition.  His talent and character are obvious in every performance,” Senator Baker said.
 
Allen is the first Arkansan to earn a spot on the hit television show. After weeks of competition he is one of seven finalists from among tens of thousands of contestants who auditioned across the U.S. and Puerto Rico. Allen has a chance to enter the show's coveted top five Tuesday, but the two contestants receiving the least votes will be eliminated because judges did not to eliminate anyone this week.
 
Fans in Central Arkansas are encouraged to attend a hometown viewing party for the next live episode of “American Idol” Tuesday at the Farris Center at UCA in Conway. Doors open at 6 p.m. and the show airs at 8 p.m.  The crowd will be encouraged to vote beginning at 9 p.m. for two full hours. The event is supported by the City of Conway Parks Department and Conway Corp.
 
Those wanting to vote for Allen, or any contestant of their choosing, will be able to do so for at least two hours after the show airs each Tuesday evening. Fans can vote toll-free at 1-866-IDOLS-01, -02 or whatever number denotes the specific contestant.

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