Election day at last | Arkansas Blog

Tuesday, November 2, 2010

Election day at last

Posted By on Tue, Nov 2, 2010 at 6:05 AM

I'm past denial and anger and trying to segue into acceptance. What will be and all.

At least I didn't get arrested last night for stealing my opponent's campaign sign. A morning e-mail says a candidate for alderman in a Central Arkansas city got caught in the act last night and booked, but I'll withhold ID pending official confirmation. UPDATE: Channel 7 reporting details on the Beebe alderman spied by an opponent's wife doing the sign deed.

If wishful thinking appeals to you, here's Nate Silver on how Democrats could retain the House. (They just as easily could lose 77 seats, he says.) The rosier scenario is rooted in a possibility that the polling this year is bad wrong. It has happened, though not often. I'm not signing on this fanciful scenario, just reporting it. And I should add that Silver's final prediction is a 54-55 seat Republican gain.

Silver's final congressional update has the Senate solid for John Boozman; the 2nd and 3rd House districts solid for Republicans; the 1st leaning Republican and the 4th leaning toward Democratic Rep. Mike Ross. If voters will just remember Ross' critical role in passage of Obamacare (he could have beaten the bill in committee, but allowed it to go on to passage), surely they'll re-elect him.


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