Democratic Party poll has good results for Democratic candidates | Arkansas Blog

Thursday, August 21, 2014

Democratic Party poll has good results for Democratic candidates

Posted By on Thu, Aug 21, 2014 at 3:10 PM

click to enlarge polling.png

The Arkansas Democratic Party today released a summary of polling done for the party by Opinion Research Associates of Little Rock. It shows Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor with a lead, but within the margin of error, over challenger Tom Cotton and shows Democrat Mike Ross in a dead heat with Republican Asa Hutchinson in the governor's race.

The Pryor-Cotton race has been essentially a dead heat in most polling, with some narrow edges for Cotton in recent samples. Most polling has shown Hutchinson with a lead over Ross.

Republicans will scoff at these results, naturally. Opinion Research, operated by Ernie and Zoe Oakleaf, is an independent company with many clients, not only in politics, that has had some notable polling successes over the decades of work in Arkansas in some hotly contested races. It had a broader lead for Pryor in an earlier sampling. It was knocked two years ago for a small, high error-margin poll done for Herb Rule's congressional campaign that indicated some weakness on the part of Republican U.S. Rep. Tim Griffin. Griffin easily defeated Rule's lightly funded campaign, which also was damaged by his DWI arrest. Griffin's numbers remained unremarkable and are reflected in the narrowness of the current race between Republican French Hill and Democrat Pat Hays for the seat he is vacating.

The Democratic Party did not release the full polling document, only the summary I've reproduced above. A spokesman said it was based on a sample that was 12 percent black among the 414 respondents, close to the participation rate in Arkansas elections. The poll did include, as some polls have not, the third party candidates.

Clips and save for November cheering or jeering. Margin of error 4.9 percent. The Hill notes that the surveying extended over a week and sampled registered voters, as opposed to likely voters, a sampling believed to skew Democratic.

Tags: , , , , , , , ,


Favorite

Comments (2)

Showing 1-2 of 2

Add a comment

 
Subscribe to this thread:
Showing 1-2 of 2

Add a comment

More by Max Brantley

Readers also liked…

  • Trump immigration protest at LR: Quick and fierce

    It was not even 24 hours ago that Sophia Said, director of the Interfaith Center; City Director Kathy Webb and others decided to organize a protest today of Donald Trump's executive order that has left people from Muslim countries languishing in airports or unable to come to the US at all — people with visas, green cards,a  post-doc graduate student en route to Harvard, Google employees abroad, families. I got the message today before noon; others didn't find out until it was going on. But however folks found out, they turned out in huge numbers, more than thousand men, women and children, on the grounds of the state Capitol to listen to speakers from all faiths and many countries.
    • Jan 29, 2017
  • ADEQ denies C&H Hog Farm permit

    The Arkansas Department of Environmental Quality has denied a new permit for the C&H Hog Farms' concentrated animal feeding operation near Mount Judea (Newton County). This is a big and somewhat surprising victory for critics who have viewed C&H's large-scale pig farm and the pig waste it generates as an existential threat to the Buffalo National River.
    • Jan 10, 2018
  • Tom Cotton's influence on Trump's new security chief

    U.S. Sen. Tom Cotton is getting credit for pushing President Donald Trump to select Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster as his national security adviser, Politico reports.
    • Feb 21, 2017

Most Viewed

Most Recent Comments

Slideshows

 

© 2018 Arkansas Times | 201 East Markham, Suite 200, Little Rock, AR 72201
Powered by Foundation