New poll indicates stronger Democratic showing in top Arkansas races, including Mark Pryor lead | Arkansas Blog

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

New poll indicates stronger Democratic showing in top Arkansas races, including Mark Pryor lead

Posted By on Wed, Sep 24, 2014 at 2:43 PM

click to enlarge BETTER NEWS: A new poll was more upbeat for Democratic candidates than a sounding reported earlier in the week.
  • BETTER NEWS: A new poll was more upbeat for Democratic candidates than a sounding reported earlier in the week.
New polling by Suffolk University for USA Today offers a better outlook for Arkansas Democrats in the November election, from top-of-the-ticket races to several farther down the ballot. The poll has Democrat Mark Pryor ahead two points of Republican Tom Cotton in the race for U.S. Senate and Democrat Mike Ross  two points behind Republican Asa Hutchinson in the race for governor. Cotton and Hutchinson led by wider margins in a recent Public Policy poll.

The Suffolk/USA Today poll sampled 500 likely voters Sept. 20-23. The pollsters found a "purple" rather than  red state:


Mark Pryor (D) 45
Tom Cotton (R) 43


Asa Hutchinson (R) 43
Mike Ross (D) 41


John Burkhalter (D) 42
Tim Griffin (R) 35


Mark Martin (R) 35
Susan Inman (D) 34


Nate Steel (D) 36
Leslie Rutledge (R) 36


For 45
Against 40

*This ballot issue is described by the pollster as, among others, "eliminating dry counties."


Voters split 42-42 in preference for partisan control of Congress. Mike Huckabee easily led a Republican presidential primary matchup for 2016 — unless Mitt Romney is included. Romney led Huckabee 33-29.

Hillary Clinton had 70 percent support on the Democratic side.

Also: 55 percent favored an increase in the minimum wage. The respondents split 56-27 percent in favor of the amendment with ethics, term limit and legislative pay components. The ballot title refers to "setting term limits," so respondents may have been misled, because the measure actually weakens term limits. But voters may be misled, too.

The margin of error is 4.4 percent.

Here's the summary.

And you can go here for all the details.

Republicans will say they are undersampled. Poll shows the 500 broke down this way: 177 Democrats, 155 Republicans, 138 unaffiliated, 26 Libertarian, 4 Green. Most surveys show unaffiliated trend Republican so I'm not ready to instantly say this constitutes a poor sample. Arkansas is moving Republican, though many who vote that way aren't necessarily ready to adopt the label as Democrats of long standing. The poll is about 35 percent Democratic, which sounds about right as a hard-core number.

From the ArkTimes store


Comments (6)

Showing 1-6 of 6

Add a comment

Subscribe to this thread:
Showing 1-6 of 6

Add a comment

More by Max Brantley

  • Three ead in WLR

    Three dead in suspected double murder-suicide in West Little Rock.
    • Aug 20, 2017
  • One dead in shooting at Buffalo National River

    KTHV reports a man was fatally shot Saturday at the Buffalo National River in Searcy County in what is being called an officer-involved shooting. No other details at the moment.
    • Aug 20, 2017
  • If it's really about history ..... read some

    The Confederate statue defenders in Hot Springs insist their regular demonstrations are about historic preservation, not white supremacy. History in books (if not on statues) tells another story.
    • Aug 20, 2017
  • More »

Readers also liked…

  • Super Bowl line

    Over to you.
    • Feb 7, 2016
  • Auditor Lea caught not telling the truth

    State Auditor Andrea Lea, who began her tenure in statewide office with a degree of competence unseen in some other Republican counterparts (think Treasurer Dennis Milligan particularly), is becoming more deeply mired in a political scandal.
    • Mar 4, 2016
  • Another Republican miracle-working governor

    Great piece in Washington Post on the budget crisis in Louisiana. Big tax cuts and corporate welfare will do that to a state, particularly to a state whose previous governor, Republican Bobby Jindal, refused to join the Obamacare-funded Medicaid expansion. There's a lesson there for Arkansas.
    • Mar 4, 2016

Most Shared

  • Take yourself there: Mavis Staples coming to LR for Central High performance

    Gospel and R&B singer and civil rights activist Mavis Staples, who has been inspiring fans with gospel-inflected freedom songs like "I'll Take You There" and "March Up Freedom's Highway" and the poignant "Oh What a Feeling" will come to Little Rock for the commemoration of the 60th anniversary of the desegregation of Central High.
  • Klan's president

    Everything that Donald Trump does — make that everything that he says — is calculated to thrill his lustiest disciples. But he is discovering that what was brilliant for a politician is a miscalculation for a president, because it deepens the chasm between him and most Americans.
  • On Charlottesville

    Watching the Charlottesville spectacle from halfway across the country, I confess that my first instinct was to raillery. Vanilla ISIS, somebody called this mob of would-be Nazis. A parade of love-deprived nerds marching bravely out of their parents' basements carrying tiki torches from Home Depot.
  • Lynchings hidden in the history of the Hot Springs Confederate monument

    Hot Springs twice erupted into the kind of violence that has its roots in the issues left unresolved by the Civil War, and both times, it happened right where that monument to Confederate soldiers stands today.

Most Viewed

Most Recent Comments



© 2017 Arkansas Times | 201 East Markham, Suite 200, Little Rock, AR 72201
Powered by Foundation