The GOP debate: Markets say it didn't change anything | Arkansas Blog

Sunday, August 9, 2015

The GOP debate: Markets say it didn't change anything

Posted By on Sun, Aug 9, 2015 at 8:14 AM

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  • NY Times

The New York Times' Upshot reports on how the GOP played with market prediction operations — where people put down money on political outcomes in the future.

Thursday night's debate didn't change anything. Florida's Mike Huckabee remained in a solid 7th place.

According to David Rothschild, who runs the prediction market aggregator PredictWise.com, the top three candidates remain Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and Scott Walker. Long odds are available for all the other candidates. No contender saw his or her odds move by more than four percentage points. Movements this small are sometimes not even meaningful, as they reflect the ebb and flow of money for or against a particular candidate.


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