Election notes: Failed polling, slavery and the GOP vote, lobbyists for Bernie, Marco who? | Arkansas Blog

Wednesday, March 9, 2016

Election notes: Failed polling, slavery and the GOP vote, lobbyists for Bernie, Marco who?

Posted By on Wed, Mar 9, 2016 at 7:14 AM

Some odds and ends from presidential political news around the web this morning:

* THOSE LYING POLLS: The polls showing Hillary Clinton a runaway winner in Michigan may have been the worst ever. Real Clear Politics' numbers illustrate. The polling average showed a 21-point Clinton advantage. Reality: Bernie Sanders' two-point win. (For what it's worth, new CNN polling shows Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton ahead in critical states next week — Florida and Ohio.)

* MAYBE BERNIE ISN'T THAT PURE: The Center for Public Integrity reviewed public records to show that Bernie Sanders enjoys financial support from two dozen major lobbyists (and not just from organized labor). Clinton's contributions undoubtedly dwarf Sanders'. But, unlike President Obama, Sanders is not refusing money from lobbyists, even though he is calling for the Democratic National Committee to forsake such money.

* MARCO WHO?: Donald Trump's continued success was the big story, but delegates matter. And that means Ted Cruz was the clear No. 2 in not only popular voting. Marco Rubio, the "establishment" alternative to Trump, meanwhile had a calamitous night. Check out delegate impact in Tuesday voting, from CNN:

Trump: 72
Cruz: 57
Kasich: 17
Rubio: 0
TBD: 4


* RACE: From Vox comes the not-quite-surprising, but still telling news that ... 

"the local prevalence of slavery — an institution that was abolished 150 years ago — has a detectable effect on present-day political attitudes in the American South." Specifically, in areas where slavery was more common 150 years ago, people who live in those same areas now are more conservative and harbor more racial resentment.
Where slavery was prevalent, whites in the South vote Republican

So what's the reason for the connection? The authors suggest that the end of slavery had a tremendous, lasting impact on white Southerners that's been passed down from generation to generation:
Confederate flags, anyone?

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