Little Rock voting: Neighborhood matters | Arkansas Blog

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Little Rock voting: Neighborhood matters

Posted By on Wed, Nov 14, 2018 at 4:19 PM

click to enlarge RUNOFF VOTING: Frank Scott (left) and Baker Kurrus (right) are in the runoff. But thired-place finisher Warwick Sabin's voters could be decisive.
  • RUNOFF VOTING: Frank Scott (left) and Baker Kurrus (right) are in the runoff. But thired-place finisher Warwick Sabin's voters could be decisive.

A friend reviewing the precinct results of Democrat Clarke Tucker's unsuccessful race for Congress against Republican Rep. French Hill passed along those figures and I think they are worth a look as the city of Little Rock moves to a runoff for mayor between Baker Kurrus and Frank Scott Dec. 4.

You'll see marked differences in neighborhood voting patterns. Tucker carried traditionally liberal precincts (including a 58 percent victory margin in Hill's home voting precinct at the Heights Fire Station) and also smashed Hill in black voting precincts (despite pre-election polling that questioned Tucker's voting strength both in Pulaski County generally and in black neighborhoods.) HIll ran well in western Little Rock, where Republican voters are concentrated.

In the first election for mayor, state Rep. Warwick Sabin carried traditionally liberal precincts; Kurrus ran strong in the western precincts where French Hill enjoyed strength and Scott had large margins (though not as large as Tucker enjoyed) in the central and southwest precincts heavily populated by minorities.

In short, it seems: Winning minority neighborhoods alone isn't enough. Winning the west alone is certainly not enough. A coalition will be necessary and Sabin votes will be critical.

The race is nonpartisan, but some Republican associations clearly have attached to Kurrus. Scott, on the other hand, is having yet another fund-raiser this week hosted by Lisenne Rockefeller, widow of the Republican lieutenant governor (who once employed Kurrus). Kurrus had noticeable support, too, from some liberal areas where voters remembered his duty as Little Rock school superintendent.

Regardless, just for fun, the Tucker rundown in Pulaski County: He won Little Rock precincts against Hill by 25,184 votes, 67.6 percent to 32.4 percent of the two candidates' combined vote (omitting the small vote for a Libertarian candidate). He carried the precincts outside Little Rock in Pulaski County by 2,260 votes, 51.9 percent to 48.1 cent. He lost the six counties outside Pulaski County by a big enough margin, more than 43,00 votes, to lose the election by more than 16,000 votes.

He should have run for mayor.

For some fodder to consider on Little Rock vote splits in the mayor's race, here's how the Little Rock precincts voted for 2nd District Congress (I'm not sure if some precincts might not include some voters outside the city limits):

Precinct#  Location  Tucker  Hill

58 Winfield UMC 732 914

60 Highland Valley UMC 751 1210

61 Pilgrim Rest BC – Col. Glenn 385 748

63 Martindale BC – Col. Glenn 275 436

64 Chenal Valley BC 734 1137

65 St. Michael’s Episcopal 422 287

66 12900 Cantrell 637 545

67 Temple B’Nai Israel 816 446

68 Chenal Valley CofC 681 957

69 1st Baptist – PV 593 788

70 PV Church of Christ 436 485

71 PA 858 934

72 PV Church of Christ 440 226

73 Parkway Place BC 662 588

74 Agape Church 506 324

75 Immanuel BC 726 298

76 Parkway Place BC 592 368

77 Immanuel BC 987 804

78 10001 Kanis 788 539

79 13000 Baseline 823 297

80 13000 Baseline 1,296 299

81 Mabelvale 771 406

82 7601 Baseline 762 183

83 9400 Col. Glenn 1,211 166

84 9400 Col. Glenn 1,129 98

85 10001 Kanis 966 150

86 St. Mark BC 516 92

87 9820 W. Markham 643 315

88 St. James UMC 729 583

89 Unitarian Church 596 309

90 2nd Presbyterian 767 518

91 Cammack City Hall 731 438

92 St. Paul UMC 646 329

93 1st Nazarene Church 681 344

94 1st Nazarene Church 586 290

95 Grace Presbyterian 848 477

96 St. Mark’s Episcopal 439 230

97 Faith Lutheran 589 195

98 1709 Barrow 782 74

99 6401 W. 32nd 575 144

100 6401 W. 32nd 327 51

101 4601 Western Hills 540 146

102 5430 Mabelvale Pike 628 126

103 6219 Baseline 737 89

104 10610 Chicot 1097 149

105 9300 Geyer Springs 714 157

106 Heights Fire Station #10 620 444

107 Heights Fire Station #10 616 436

108 Woodlawn Baptist 588 409

109 Pulaski Heights Presbyterian 1559 408

110 Woodlawn Baptist 402 221

111 Pulaski Heights UMC 1163 378

112 Pulaski Heights Presbyterian 524 119

114 Arkansas Arts Center 839 222

115 St. Mark Baptist 801 76

116 1200 Lewis 558 20

117 Bullock Temple 748 48

118 Dunbar Rec Center 874 98

119 1720 W. 23rd 796 53

120 4800 W. 26th 698 59

121 5500 Geyer Springs 628 111

122 2901 Roosevelt 563 26

123 7701 Scott Hamilton 458 72

124 7701 Scott Hamilton 679 128

125 3623 Baseline 555 221

128 15923 Arch Street 1023 70

129 2701 Main Street 287 120

130 Fire Station #4 – LR Port 343 3

131 Mills High School 408 63

134 2500 E. 6th 357 38

135 3801 Springer Rd. 264 11

137 15524 Chenal Parkway 643 738

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